Research
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Publications
(joint with Yao Amber Li and Tengyu Zhao) Published in Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2025
This paper examines the patterns of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) among Chinese importers and the role played by credit constraints in shaping the ERPT. Using highly dis-aggregated firm-product-country-level transaction data from 2000 to 2007, we find that (1) the average level of ERPT into import prices in China is around 73%; (2) for importers in financially more constrained sectors, ERPT tends to be more complete; (3) a higher degree of import sourcing diversity leads to a less complete pass-through and partially offsets the effects of credit constraints. Our findings demonstrate the significance of credit constraints in governing ERPT into import prices. Furthermore, a more diversified import sourcing network can enhance the ability of importers to cope with exchange rate shocks and help alleviate the impact of financial constraints on international trade.
[Publication]
Working Papers
(joint with Yao Amber Li, Shang-Jin Wei and Jingbo Yao) Submitted
We find that an unanticipated tightening of US monetary policy tends to raise US import prices. This empirical “spill-back” pattern differs from the predictions of typical open-economy macro models. We also document a new empirical “spillover” effect: import prices of other countries also rise following an unexpected US monetary tightening. To understand the mechanism, we examine Chinese exporters and identify a borrowing cost channel - their liquidity conditions generally deteriorate after a US monetary tightening. Indeed, the output price response is greater for those firms facing higher borrowing costs or tighter liquidity conditions.
[Draft]
In Progress
Job Market Paper
This paper explores how import and export trade linkages can help firms hedge exchange rate risk. I provide empirical evidence that exchange rate shocks from the export market and the source of imports have opposite effects. Exchange rate movements at the destination of a firm’s exports are offset by exchange rate movements at the source of imports, and thus import-export linkages help mitigate the impact of exchange rate shocks on export performance. I will further discuss multilateral exchange rate correlations, where a firm’s mix of export markets and import sources will affect its effectiveness in hedging exchange rate risk. I will develop a trade model with nominal price and currency components. The exchange rate risk faced by a firm depends on its network of exports and imports.